Sunday, 7 September 2014

Reverse Logistics-Where the new opportunity lies

Introduction:
Logistics is defined by The Council of Logistics Management as: The process of planning, Implementing, and controlling the efficient, cost effective flow of raw materials, in-process inventory, finished goods and related information from the point of origin to the point of consumption for the purpose of conforming to customer requirements.
Reverse logistics includes all of the activities that are mentioned in the definition above. The difference is that reverse logistics encompasses all of these activities as they operate in reverse. Therefore, reverse logistics is: The process of planning, implementing, and controlling the efficient, cost effective flow of raw materials, in-process inventory, finished goods and related information from the point of consumption to the point of origin for the purpose of recapturing value or proper disposal.
Therefore, it clearly follows from the above definition that reverse logistics essentially start from the point of consumption, and the objective of the same is to recapture the value of the product.
Rapid advancement in the complexity of the technologies, and the increasingly growing uncertainty on the business environments have forced the organizations to keep changing rapidly in order to survive. What were order winning qualities yesterday have become the bare minimum qualifying attributes for today.
Reverse Logistics or the reverse supply chain (R-SCM), features greater uncertainty as compared to forward supply chain flows or forward logistics. An easy way to resolve the excessive uncertainty is to introduce greater level of flexibility in reverse logistics (RL). Increased flexibility increases costs and complexity. Information technology is a key enabler in improving the supply chain; however most of the solutions today are designed keeping the forward logistics (FL) in mind. The reverse flow is different in a number of ways. First, product arrives whenever customers decide to return an unwanted item, or a retailer decides to pull slow-moving product, or a manufacturer institutes a packaging change, or any number of other possible causes. Second, the product is not all in new condition. Third, much of the packaging is damaged or shelf-worn.
Reverse Logistics can therefore be considered to be the process of completing the Supply Chain model which starts from the consumer/customer goes back to the manufacturer or a reverse logistics partner.
Literature Review
Reverse Logistics is a growing concern for almost all industries, primarily because of the large number of options available; the buyers are becoming more and more unwilling to buy something without the guarantee of return in case they do not like the product post purchase.
 “In recent years there has been an increasing need for companies to manage the reverse flow of materials in their supply chains. One reason is the increased frequency with which customers change their minds and return goods shortly after purchases. Firms have dealt with such returns for many years, but growth in mail-order and e-business traffic has increased the volume of such returns—customers unable to see and touch the items they are purchasing are more likely to return them.” (Gregory A. DeCroix and Paul H. Zipkin-Inventory Management for an Assembly System with Product or Component Returns)

Reverse Logistics, is not a new field, some of the products that we use have already have a stable reverse logistics process, e.g. soft drink bottles, expired medicines and drugs etc. a product recall, countries environmental norms that dictate the recycle of environmentally hazardous waste and so on. However in case of ecommerce the organization faces the following challenges that make the reverse logistics process a little more difficult than others:
a.       Inconsistency: Unlike in case of a soft drink distribution it is difficult to come up with a prediction model for the amount of Reverse Logistics that shall be generated in ecommerce. Also the forward and backward channels for a soft drink industry or a pharmaceutical industry are well defined, which is not the case in ecommerce.
b.      Lack of Standardization: The weight/ height/shape etc. vary across a very wide range of values in case of products in ecommerce. It’s a common phenomenon that the returned package in case of a sale made online may be tampered or incorrectly packed, incorrectly packaged items may sometimes lead to quality degradation in transit too.
c.       Quality Check: A Serious Quality check is required for the returned products in case of a return. The point of sales and point of exchange are different in the case of an online purchase, which adds further to the complications.
d.      Dissatisfaction among the customers: The returns if not handled properly can lead to serious dissatisfaction among the customers deterring them from making future purchases.
“The lack of good return channels is the main reason for the customers to give up on-line transactions. Many well-known foreign companies take reverse logistics strategy as an important tool to reduce costs, increase customer satisfaction and strengthen the competitive advantage. As a result, ecommerce development cannot leave the support of reverse logistics and the efficient operation of the reverse logistics also need e-commerce”.(Jian Xu - Study of Reverse Logistics in the E-commerce Environment.)

e.       Additional cost of restoring the product to the customer in case of a return.
Difficulties in Inventory mapping: returned goods are basically inventory in transit, provided they are in good re-sellable condition, but the uncertainty about the quality of the product returned to be resold makes the process of inventory mapping and valuation all the more complicated. “The insights and solution methods for traditional inventory systems (without returns) may no longer apply.” (Gregory A. DeCroix and Paul H. Zipkin-Inventory Management for an Assembly System with Product or Component Returns)

Outsourcing and development a Reverse Logistics ecosystem
There are many firms that have ventured into the business with a core competency of providing Reverse Logistics solution; some examples in India include GreenDust, MasterWorks etc. In some develop countries like United States there are firms like Seneca, WiseTek (Ireland, Finalist of E&Y Entrepreneur of the year 2013) etc that aim at creating a secondary market for the returned goods that are not in re-sellable condition.
These ecosystems consist of pooled resource which provide for a common return/exchange platform for more than one ecommerce companies. They have successfully made use of many statistical tools like control charts etc, for determining the amount of reverse logistics that are generated due to incorrect sales and have helped the companies to develop a FTR (First time right) sales model by continuous reduction of variance and increased conformance to the customer requirements.
For the goods that are broken beyond repair or are spoilt beyond the Minimum Acceptable Repair Quality (MARQ) they propose breaking down of the electronic goods received from the Reverse Logistics to extract the valuable metals like gold, silver copper etc that are use up in the manufacturing.

 As per a research from United Postal service (UPS)-Recovering Lost Profits by Improving Reverse Logistics: “One of the starkest examples of secondary market opportunities lies in the mobile phone industry. Every year, there are about 1.2 billion cell phones sold worldwide. The return rate for mobile phones in 2010 was 8% or 96 million phones that weigh about 16,000 tons. The average secondary market value for refurbished mobile phones ranges between 35% and 75% of the original value. The average retail value per phone is approximately $150. If liquidated on the secondary market, the manufacturer would recover on average $82.50 per phone. If a single manufacturer were able to resell only 250,000 of the phones returned to them, it could equal over $20M in additional revenue.” (Curtic Greve and Jerry Davis- Recovering Lost profits by Improving Reverse Logistics)

However the problem of reverse logistics in India is a lot different than those in the developed countries, we propose to identify the constraints in the existing system of Reverse logistics in the ecommerce industry of India. We therefore propose a model which may help reduce the (Cost of Quality Failure) CQF-External failures, without affecting the CTQ parameters for the reverse logistics of unaccepted goods sold through an ecommerce website. The model involves not only a slight cultural change to ensure its effectiveness but also requires IT support to understand and forecast the amount of reverse logistics that shall be generated at the point of exchange for the goods.

Growing importance of reverse logistics
Reverse Logistics is a least used differentiator for companies, when it can serve as a strong instrument for building customer loyalty. Companies can no longer afford to treat reverse logistics as an afterthought.
Ecommerce is growing at a remarkable pace in developing countries particularly India (due to high youth population and increased consistently growing IT sector). The paper aims at analyzing the use of statistical processes like Lean or Six Sigma can be used to improve and reduce the costs due to Reverse Logistics.
The size of reverse logistics markets in various countries is as shown in the Appendix-1.
Re-engineering of the existing business process for reverse logistics in India:
 Diagram below shows the existing process (As-Is) of a reverse logistics in India.


The flow chart (Figure 1) above shows the regular process of reverse logistics.
Bold arrows show the forward logistics for the product and information flow, and thin line arrows show the various steps involved in the process of returning the goods back in case the customer dislikes the delivered products.
The return process consists of minimum 8 steps numbered 1 to 8 (as compared to a simple forward logistics that completes in 3 steps only) in the diagram above, for the sake of simplicity we have not included the other major stake holders like suppliers etc, who shall play a vital role in case of defected products, also we have included a warehousing model and not a trading model, which is very common in ecommerce these days.
The major issues that can be seen in the model that exists include:-
a.       Excessive material movement for the purpose of quality verification.
b.      Correctness of the returns, (i.e. if the return is a valid return or not) is realized much later in the process.
c.       Quality of the product entering the reverse logistics chain is determined after the product has already entered the chain thus the decision of re-routing these products to the correct point of operations is delayed.
Proposed re-engineered process (To-Be)
The proposed model for handling the returns is as shown in the diagram below:
The model includes a step of Customer Quality Verification, in the forward logistics directly, thus making provisions for reverse logistics in the forward supply chain. It stands with a philosophy proposed by many researchers that forward and backward supply chain should not operate in sedition.
The purpose of including a Customer Quality Verification step, is to ensure that the quality of the product is not determined after the product has already entered into the reverse supply chain. The person who makes the delivery of the product shall help the consumer to immediately verify the product quality at the point of exchange and in case if the consumer is dissatisfied with the offering s/he can immediately call for a return. Since the product has not been with the consumer for much time before s/he asks for a return the Quality check stage as used in the As-Is model becomes redundant.
Other benefits that the proposed system has includes
a.       reduced movement of goods from the consumer to the quality centre etc,
b.      Since the repackaging of the product is being done by the delivery staff(in case of immediate returns), the probability of goods being spoilt on transit due to incorrect packaging is also reduced to a very large extent.
c.       Also, since all the stake holders involved in the process of forward and reverse logistics involved are connected via an ERP system the inventory mapping becomes easy (See Inventory disadvantages of the As-Is process).
d.      Customer satisfaction shall improve as the process aims at providing speedy returns to the consumer, the time to pick up the product from the consumer and perform the quality check on the same before moving the replaced goods (in case if the returned product has passed the quality test) is reduced to almost 0.
e.       The process efficiency shall improve, and the delighted customers shall make more and more repeat purchases thus helping the firm to improve their sales.




Limitations of the proposed Process
The process has certain obvious problems, the Customer Quality Verification stage, shall to some extent have a bearing on the speediness of the forward logistics, (Consider a single distribution van who could have covered say x distribution points can now cover, say (x – δ), distribution points only). Calculations below try to estimate the cost benefit analysis for implementation of the model.
Training Costs of the people delivering the products at the distribution point cannot be neglected. These professionals need to be trained in packaging the product back correctly and making the decision whether the return is a valid return or not. The degree of leniency to classify a return as a valid return may vary from a company to company and even from a product to product. However, for the sake of simplicity we can say a valid return is a return that is made for a genuine reason like:

a.       Product does not meeting the promised standards
b.      All components/items promised on the portal are not available
c.       Product is spoilt in transit
d.      Incorrect product etc.
The proposed model shall stand beneficial if:-

Total Cost of implementation of the proposed model < Losses due to Reverse Logistics 

Total Cost of implementation of the proposed model is the sum of the incremental cost that the firm shall have to bear if it plans to implement the process and the Opportunity cost that shall arise if the company discards the existing process.
Consider a single distribution van that could have covered say x distribution points can now cover, say (x – δ), distribution points only, thus there shall be a loss of covering δdistribution points.
We consider this as a simple queuing model with one server to understand the process further, the arrival of the products to be delivered is say λ (at the start of the day when the van leaves for making the delivery) and µ is the average rate at which the delivery van can make the delivery to the consumer.
Now, the reduced rate of delivery due to implementation of process is say µnew will be
                        (x – δ ) / x * µ = µnew  
The average number of orders that the van can now process can be given by:
Lq(new)  =  λ2/[µnewnew - l)]
As compared to the existing process where the average numbers of orders that the van can process are:
Lq  =  λ2/[µ(µ - l)]
Therefore the average number of orders that the new process will fall short of is: Lq-Lq(new)
Say cost of falling short of one order is Rs. S thus the Overall incremental cost that the company shall have to incur is = (Lq-Lq(new))*S
If the training costs are Rs. T, and the say the losses that the company is facing due to Reverse Logistics is Rs L.
The suggested model shall prove to be effective if:
(Lq-Lq(new))*S + T < L

Concluding Remarks:

The proposed process can serve useful only if the costs for implementing the process are justified also one important consideration that the model strongly advocates is provisioning reverse logistics in the forward logistics process, the two processes cannot exist separately, and planning for reverse logistics should be done at the same time when the supply chain strategies are made. Reverse logistics requires the companies to delve much deeper and understand the reasons of returns and predict the acceptability of the products to the consumers who are making online purchases. Reverse logistics is a by-product of the sales made electronically that shall continue to exist as long as the business of selling goods on internet exists thus the companies must include reverse logistics as a part of corporate strategy, rather than considering it as an afterthought of sales. It’s said strength of the process is how it performs during adversities, and reverse logistics bear tremendous potential to help companies get new customers or lose the old ones.